Tagged: projection

Projection, jection

Hopefully people get my weak Schoolhouse Rock reference with the title…

Just wnted to let people know they should check out my first crack at the top 30 picks in the upcoming draft. The entire first round can be found here. Some interesting movement up and down.

Biggest rise: Andrew Cashner, from 20 to 11. Keep in mind that I only did picks 1-20 last week, so I can’t really pick players I have at 21-30 who didn’t seem to be in the first-round picture not long ago. Cashner, the TCU closer, is in the mix in a bunch of places (see rumor mill below) and is in the Rangers mix for sure.

Biggest slide: Shooter Hunt, from 11 to 20.  He still could go anywhere from 11 down to 20, but some concerns about his command (which invariably lead to questions about if he can start) combined with some less-than-stellar performances lately may contribute to him slipping closer to the bottom part of the first round. It’s really been his last two starts, in which he’s given up eight earned runs in 14 IP (5.14 ERA), allowing nine walks while striking out 14. Unfortunately, last impressions often are the most important come draft time and losing in the conference tournament (6 IP, 5 ER, 5 BB, 9 K) probably hasn’t helped. If he comes out and throws well in his regional start before the draft, that might reverse the slide some.

Rumor mill: Couple of good ones floating around lately. One has Cashner rising up into the top 10… up to No. 6. The feeling had been the Marlins would take HS catcher Kyle Skipworth — and that might still happen — but it’ll be interesting to see if there’s any truth to this rumor about the big-armed TCU closer moving up that high.

The other one is one I mentioned in the projection, and that’s Gerrit Cole going to the Rangers at 11. He’s in the mix, it almost seems certain, but I’m hearing more and more that it’s a distinct possibility. He evideintly was registering regular 99 mph on guns at his last start, even touching triple-digits, with a lot of juice on hand to see it. Cole is a Boras guy, and right now it seems like the Rangers at 11 and the Yankees at 28 are the two places he could go in the first round.

Projection time!

Hard for me to believe, but if you click on over to MLB.com, you can find my first draft projection of the season. It’s for the first 10 picks and please be sure to take them with a grain of salt. It’s real early. But I do feel good about the names I have on the list. Picks 1-20 come a week from now.

If you’re too lazy to read all of it, here’s the list:

1. TB — Buster Posey
2. PIT — Pedro Alvarez
3. KC — Eric Hosmer
4. BAL — Brian Matusz
5. SF — Tim Beckham
6. FLA — Kyle Skipworth
7. CIN — Aaron Crow
8. CWS — Gordon Beckham
9. WAS — Justin Smoak
10. HOU — Tanner Scheppers

Questions, comments, smart remarks? Leave ’em below…